Browsing by Author "Troeger, Christopher (57195223624)"
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Publication Burden of diarrhea in the eastern mediterranean region, 1990-2013: Findings from the global burden of disease study 2013(2016) ;Khalil, Ibrahim (58255049500) ;Colombara, Danny V. (37025591000) ;Forouzanfar, Mohammad Hossein (57202562738) ;Troeger, Christopher (57195223624) ;Daoud, Farah (57201079837) ;Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar (35617421300) ;El Bcheraoui, Charbel (25027689700) ;Rao, Puja C. (57191835613) ;Afshin, Ashkan (57217465455) ;Charara, Raghid (56514085300) ;Abate, Kalkidan Hassen (57207943858) ;Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy (57192379650) ;Abd-Allah, Foad (36503428900) ;Abu-Elyazeed, Remon (57224428155) ;Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad (57199100665) ;Akanda, Ali Shafqat (35290419100) ;Akseer, Nadia (57207801968) ;Alam, Khurshid (57203681299) ;Alasfoor, Deena (57211114684) ;Ali, Raghib (57196506541) ;AlMazroa, Mohammad A. (35572530900) ;Alomari, Mahmoud A. (57219982609) ;Salem Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Mohammad (57192371411) ;Alsharif, Ubai (57211633255) ;Alsowaidi, Shirina (26867516400) ;Altirkawi, Khalid A. (57202762923) ;Alvis-Guzman, Nelson (57210741239) ;Ammar, Walid (57208159281) ;Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. (55247644500) ;Asayesh, Hamid (55334322800) ;Asghar, Rana Jawad (57209013760) ;Atique, Suleman (56505419100) ;Awasthi, Ashish (57200155811) ;Bacha, Umar (57200173721) ;Badawi, Alaa (57216776029) ;Barac, Aleksandra (55550748700) ;Bedi, Neeraj (57988442200) ;Bekele, Tolesa (57195086149) ;Bensenor, Isabela M. (7004830338) ;Betsu, Balem Demtsu (57196316128) ;Bhutta, Zulfiqar (24342648300) ;Abdulhak, Aref A. Bin (57201757922) ;Butt, Zahid A. (57202522739) ;Danawi, Hadi (57201079895) ;Dubey, Manisha (57219898654) ;Endries, Aman Yesuf (57216324852) ;Faghmous, Imad M.D.A. (57190290003) ;Farid, Talha (24824364300) ;Farvid, Maryam S. (8273562500) ;Farzadfar, Farshad (57195049611) ;Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad (57202557520) ;Fischer, Florian (55508208800) ;Anderson Fitchett, Joseph Robert (57192378614) ;Gibney, Katherine B. (57202564104) ;Mohamed Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem (57192378390) ;Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo (57190277898) ;Gugnani, Harish Chander (7005567008) ;Gupta, Rahul (57204120071) ;Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa (57219637263) ;Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi (57202769526) ;Hamidi, Samer (24366336000) ;Harb, Hilda L. (57221443122) ;Hedayati, Mohammad T. (23979915700) ;Hsairi, Mohamed (57209033943) ;Husseini, Abdullatif (6603689690) ;Jahanmehr, Nader (57203122718) ;Javanbakht, Mehdi (57204619886) ;Jibat, Tariku (57201181881) ;Jonas, Jost B. (7202492953) ;Kasaeian, Amir (57195540738) ;Khader, Yousef Saleh (55654192600) ;Khan, Abdur Rahman (55520620000) ;Khan, Ejaz Ahmad (57218791274) ;Khan, Gulfaraz (6701635515) ;Khoja, Tawfik Ahmed Muthafer (7003561381) ;Kinfu, Yohannes (12770281900) ;Kissoon, Niranjan (7006364038) ;Koyanagi, Ai (57197741912) ;Lal, Aparna (55163011100) ;Abdul Latif, Asma Abdul (57192380848) ;Lunevicius, Raimundas (57216165063) ;Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy (57195948985) ;Majeed, Azeem (7102027801) ;Malekzadeh, Reza (7005197760) ;Mehari, Alem (57211114616) ;Mekonnen, Alemayehu B. (57200179648) ;Melaku, Yohannes Adama (57203122720) ;Memish, Ziad A. (7005059350) ;Mendoza, Walter (57216905642) ;Misganaw, Awoke (57202808713) ;Ibrahim Mohamed, Layla Abdalla (57192381009) ;Nachega, Jean B. (6701544088) ;Nguyen, Quyen Le (57223642100) ;Nisar, Muhammad Imran (57191774461) ;Peprah, Emmanuel Kwame (57195257834) ;Platts-Mills, James A. (8540918800) ;Pourmalek, Farshad (8309390500) ;Qorbani, Mostafa (24831040300) ;Rafay, Anwar (57212263323) ;Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa (6507646446) ;Ur Rahman, Sajjad (15835524800) ;Rai, Rajesh Kumar (51864423900) ;Rana, Saleem M. (57204884092) ;Ranabhat, Chhabi L. (56719695500) ;Rao, Sowmya R. (15760668600) ;Refaat, Amany H. (57216641565) ;Riddle, Mark (7102072160) ;Roshandel, Gholamreza (14034446800) ;Ruhago, George Mugambage (50761517500) ;Saleh, Muhammad Muhammad (57190288485) ;Sanabria, Juan R. (7006262917) ;Sawhney, Monika (57217153893) ;Sepanlou, Sadaf G. (36248136000) ;Setegn, Tesfaye (37075667700) ;Sliwa, Karen (57207223988) ;Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T. (57212263335) ;Sykes, Bryan L. (57211183396) ;Tavakkoli, Mohammad (57202524239) ;Tedla, Bemnet Amare (57211142920) ;Terkawi, Abdullah S. (57211144258) ;Ukwaja, Kingsley (57202824584) ;Uthman, Olalekan A. (23026328100) ;Westerman, Ronny (57218361023) ;Wubshet, Mamo (54409732600) ;Yenesew, Muluken A. (39361108000) ;Yonemoto, Naohiro (57204947657) ;Younis, Mustafa Z. (8549393000) ;Zaidi, Zoubida (57197376721) ;El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa (57203666922) ;Al Rabeeah, Abdullah A. (6603625258) ;Wang, Haidong (16507828100) ;Naghavi, Mohsen (57207906323) ;Vos, Theo (57223885848) ;Lopez, Alan D. (7401455668) ;Murray, Christopher J. L. (55481130700)Mokdad, Ali H. (7004813962)Diarrheal diseases (DD) are leading causes of disease burden, death, and disability, especially in children in low-income settings. DD can also impact a child's potential livelihood through stunted physical growth, cognitive impairment, and other sequelae. As part of the Global Burden of Disease Study, we estimated DD burden, and the burden attributable to specific risk factors and particular etiologies, in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 1990 and 2013. For both sexes and all ages, we calculated disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), which are the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability. We estimate that over 125,000 deaths (3.6% of total deaths) were due to DD in the EMR in 2013, with a greater burden of DD in low-and middle-income countries. Diarrhea deaths per 100,000 children under 5 years of age ranged from one (95% uncertainty interval [UI] = 0-1) in Bahrain and Oman to 471 (95% UI = 245-763) in Somalia. The pattern for diarrhea DALYs among those under 5 years of age closely followed that for diarrheal deaths. DALYs per 100,000 ranged from 739 (95% UI = 520-989) in Syria to 40,869 (95% UI = 21,540-65,823) in Somalia. Our results highlighted a highly inequitable burden of DD in EMR, mainly driven by the lack of access to proper resources such as water and sanitation. Our findings will guide preventive and treatment interventions which are based on evidence and which follow the ultimate goal of reducing the DD burden. Copyright © 2016 by The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Burden of diarrhea in the eastern mediterranean region, 1990-2013: Findings from the global burden of disease study 2013(2016) ;Khalil, Ibrahim (58255049500) ;Colombara, Danny V. (37025591000) ;Forouzanfar, Mohammad Hossein (57202562738) ;Troeger, Christopher (57195223624) ;Daoud, Farah (57201079837) ;Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar (35617421300) ;El Bcheraoui, Charbel (25027689700) ;Rao, Puja C. (57191835613) ;Afshin, Ashkan (57217465455) ;Charara, Raghid (56514085300) ;Abate, Kalkidan Hassen (57207943858) ;Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy (57192379650) ;Abd-Allah, Foad (36503428900) ;Abu-Elyazeed, Remon (57224428155) ;Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad (57199100665) ;Akanda, Ali Shafqat (35290419100) ;Akseer, Nadia (57207801968) ;Alam, Khurshid (57203681299) ;Alasfoor, Deena (57211114684) ;Ali, Raghib (57196506541) ;AlMazroa, Mohammad A. (35572530900) ;Alomari, Mahmoud A. (57219982609) ;Salem Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Mohammad (57192371411) ;Alsharif, Ubai (57211633255) ;Alsowaidi, Shirina (26867516400) ;Altirkawi, Khalid A. (57202762923) ;Alvis-Guzman, Nelson (57210741239) ;Ammar, Walid (57208159281) ;Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. (55247644500) ;Asayesh, Hamid (55334322800) ;Asghar, Rana Jawad (57209013760) ;Atique, Suleman (56505419100) ;Awasthi, Ashish (57200155811) ;Bacha, Umar (57200173721) ;Badawi, Alaa (57216776029) ;Barac, Aleksandra (55550748700) ;Bedi, Neeraj (57988442200) ;Bekele, Tolesa (57195086149) ;Bensenor, Isabela M. (7004830338) ;Betsu, Balem Demtsu (57196316128) ;Bhutta, Zulfiqar (24342648300) ;Abdulhak, Aref A. Bin (57201757922) ;Butt, Zahid A. (57202522739) ;Danawi, Hadi (57201079895) ;Dubey, Manisha (57219898654) ;Endries, Aman Yesuf (57216324852) ;Faghmous, Imad M.D.A. (57190290003) ;Farid, Talha (24824364300) ;Farvid, Maryam S. (8273562500) ;Farzadfar, Farshad (57195049611) ;Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad (57202557520) ;Fischer, Florian (55508208800) ;Anderson Fitchett, Joseph Robert (57192378614) ;Gibney, Katherine B. (57202564104) ;Mohamed Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem (57192378390) ;Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo (57190277898) ;Gugnani, Harish Chander (7005567008) ;Gupta, Rahul (57204120071) ;Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa (57219637263) ;Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi (57202769526) ;Hamidi, Samer (24366336000) ;Harb, Hilda L. (57221443122) ;Hedayati, Mohammad T. (23979915700) ;Hsairi, Mohamed (57209033943) ;Husseini, Abdullatif (6603689690) ;Jahanmehr, Nader (57203122718) ;Javanbakht, Mehdi (57204619886) ;Jibat, Tariku (57201181881) ;Jonas, Jost B. (7202492953) ;Kasaeian, Amir (57195540738) ;Khader, Yousef Saleh (55654192600) ;Khan, Abdur Rahman (55520620000) ;Khan, Ejaz Ahmad (57218791274) ;Khan, Gulfaraz (6701635515) ;Khoja, Tawfik Ahmed Muthafer (7003561381) ;Kinfu, Yohannes (12770281900) ;Kissoon, Niranjan (7006364038) ;Koyanagi, Ai (57197741912) ;Lal, Aparna (55163011100) ;Abdul Latif, Asma Abdul (57192380848) ;Lunevicius, Raimundas (57216165063) ;Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy (57195948985) ;Majeed, Azeem (7102027801) ;Malekzadeh, Reza (7005197760) ;Mehari, Alem (57211114616) ;Mekonnen, Alemayehu B. (57200179648) ;Melaku, Yohannes Adama (57203122720) ;Memish, Ziad A. (7005059350) ;Mendoza, Walter (57216905642) ;Misganaw, Awoke (57202808713) ;Ibrahim Mohamed, Layla Abdalla (57192381009) ;Nachega, Jean B. (6701544088) ;Nguyen, Quyen Le (57223642100) ;Nisar, Muhammad Imran (57191774461) ;Peprah, Emmanuel Kwame (57195257834) ;Platts-Mills, James A. (8540918800) ;Pourmalek, Farshad (8309390500) ;Qorbani, Mostafa (24831040300) ;Rafay, Anwar (57212263323) ;Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa (6507646446) ;Ur Rahman, Sajjad (15835524800) ;Rai, Rajesh Kumar (51864423900) ;Rana, Saleem M. (57204884092) ;Ranabhat, Chhabi L. (56719695500) ;Rao, Sowmya R. (15760668600) ;Refaat, Amany H. (57216641565) ;Riddle, Mark (7102072160) ;Roshandel, Gholamreza (14034446800) ;Ruhago, George Mugambage (50761517500) ;Saleh, Muhammad Muhammad (57190288485) ;Sanabria, Juan R. (7006262917) ;Sawhney, Monika (57217153893) ;Sepanlou, Sadaf G. (36248136000) ;Setegn, Tesfaye (37075667700) ;Sliwa, Karen (57207223988) ;Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T. (57212263335) ;Sykes, Bryan L. (57211183396) ;Tavakkoli, Mohammad (57202524239) ;Tedla, Bemnet Amare (57211142920) ;Terkawi, Abdullah S. (57211144258) ;Ukwaja, Kingsley (57202824584) ;Uthman, Olalekan A. (23026328100) ;Westerman, Ronny (57218361023) ;Wubshet, Mamo (54409732600) ;Yenesew, Muluken A. (39361108000) ;Yonemoto, Naohiro (57204947657) ;Younis, Mustafa Z. (8549393000) ;Zaidi, Zoubida (57197376721) ;El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa (57203666922) ;Al Rabeeah, Abdullah A. (6603625258) ;Wang, Haidong (16507828100) ;Naghavi, Mohsen (57207906323) ;Vos, Theo (57223885848) ;Lopez, Alan D. (7401455668) ;Murray, Christopher J. L. (55481130700)Mokdad, Ali H. (7004813962)Diarrheal diseases (DD) are leading causes of disease burden, death, and disability, especially in children in low-income settings. DD can also impact a child's potential livelihood through stunted physical growth, cognitive impairment, and other sequelae. As part of the Global Burden of Disease Study, we estimated DD burden, and the burden attributable to specific risk factors and particular etiologies, in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 1990 and 2013. For both sexes and all ages, we calculated disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), which are the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability. We estimate that over 125,000 deaths (3.6% of total deaths) were due to DD in the EMR in 2013, with a greater burden of DD in low-and middle-income countries. Diarrhea deaths per 100,000 children under 5 years of age ranged from one (95% uncertainty interval [UI] = 0-1) in Bahrain and Oman to 471 (95% UI = 245-763) in Somalia. The pattern for diarrhea DALYs among those under 5 years of age closely followed that for diarrheal deaths. DALYs per 100,000 ranged from 739 (95% UI = 520-989) in Syria to 40,869 (95% UI = 21,540-65,823) in Somalia. Our results highlighted a highly inequitable burden of DD in EMR, mainly driven by the lack of access to proper resources such as water and sanitation. Our findings will guide preventive and treatment interventions which are based on evidence and which follow the ultimate goal of reducing the DD burden. Copyright © 2016 by The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Child and adolescent health from 1990 to 2015: Findings from the global burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors 2015 study(2017) ;Kassebaum, Nicholas (57202562224) ;Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe (57217040073) ;Zoeckler, Leo (57203905510) ;Olsen, Helen Elizabeth (57203080494) ;Thomas, Katie (56239717800) ;Pinho, Christine (57212482983) ;Bhutta, Zulfiqar A. (24342648300) ;Dandona, Lalit (7007017243) ;Ferrari, Alize (57195348907) ;Ghiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde (57195446566) ;Hay, Simon I. (7101875313) ;Kinfu, Yohannes (12770281900) ;Liang, Xiaofeng (26662590300) ;Lopez, Alan (7401455668) ;Malta, Deborah Carvalho (15835283500) ;Mokdad, Ali H. (7004813962) ;Naghavi, Mohsen (57207906323) ;Patton, George C. (7102184358) ;Salomon, Joshua (56745638600) ;Sartorius, Benn (12788526800) ;Topor-Madry, Roman (57211182892) ;Vollset, Stein Emil (57196315778) ;Werdecker, Andrea (57208964895) ;Whiteford, Harvey A. (55906494000) ;Abate, Kalkidan Hasen (57207943858) ;Abbas, Kaja (57190285707) ;Damtew, Solomon Abrha (58991324800) ;Ahmed, Muktar Beshir (57207802317) ;Akseer, Nadia (57207801968) ;Al-Raddadi, Rajaa (57219673720) ;Alemayohu, Mulubirhan Assefa (57203080528) ;Altirkawi, Khalid (57202762923) ;Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu (57203613441) ;Amare, Azmeraw T. (57202220009) ;Antonio, Carl A.T. (55247644500) ;Arnlov, Johan (6602512227) ;Artaman, Al (57217223811) ;Asayesh, Hamid (55334322800) ;Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G. Arthur (57209842037) ;Awasthi, Ashish (57200155811) ;Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala (55598298700) ;Bacha, Umar (57200173721) ;Betsu, Balem Demtsu (57196316128) ;Barac, Aleksandra (55550748700) ;Barnighausen, Till Winfried (23011726900) ;Baye, Estifanos (57211220426) ;Bedi, Neeraj (57988442200) ;Bensenor, Isabela M. (7004830338) ;Berhane, Adugnaw (57200410735) ;Bernabe, Eduardo (57194696150) ;Bernal, Oscar Alberto (44060935600) ;Beyene, Addisu Shunu (57209036705) ;Biadgilign, Sibhatu (57195448180) ;Bikbov, Boris (57219957158) ;Boyce, Cheryl Anne (7005306160) ;Brazinova, Alexandra (57216996405) ;Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa (57219637263) ;Carter, Austin (57201756395) ;Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A. (35769124700) ;Catala-Lopez, Ferran (57202553733) ;Charlson, Fiona J. (57191632086) ;Chitheer, Abdulaal A. (57209314488) ;Choi, Jee-Young Jasmine (57209706428) ;Ciobanu, Liliana G. (57201603453) ;Crump, John (57202595111) ;Dandona, Rakhi (57203043697) ;Dellavalle, Robert P. (7003806771) ;Deribew, Amare (25625914400) ;DeVeber, Gabrielle (57204345472) ;Dicker, Daniel (57196026676) ;Ding, Eric L. (54413849800) ;Dubey, Manisha (57219898654) ;Endries, Amanuel Yesuf (57216324852) ;Erskine, Holly E. (57202798676) ;Faraon, Emerito Jose Aquino (57195414019) ;Faro, Andre (36770969600) ;Farzadfar, Farshad (57195049611) ;Fernandes, Joao C. (35274726800) ;Fijabi, Daniel Obadare (56133163100) ;Fitzmaurice, Christina (57212628757) ;Fleming, Thomas D. (57222727747) ;Flor, Luisa Sorio (54414102000) ;Foreman, Kyle J. (57209064414) ;Franklin, Richard C. (7201428429) ;Fraser, Maya S. (57202561859) ;Frostad, Joseph J. (57222306717) ;Fullman, Nancy (57211064970) ;Gebregergs, Gebremedhin Berhe (57078990000) ;Gebru, Alemseged Aregay (57196196083) ;Geleijnse, Johanna M. (35195702500) ;Gibney, Katherine B. (57202564104) ;Yihdego, Mahari Gidey (57194541914) ;Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed (57192378390) ;Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo (57202568734) ;Gizachew, Tessema Assefa (57194547996) ;Glaser, Elizabeth (56133254300) ;Gold, Audra L. (57194129483) ;Goldberg, Ellen (57191842703) ;Gona, Philimon (57219703762) ;Goto, Atsushi (36339255500) ;Gugnani, Harish Chander (7005567008) ;Jiang, Guohong (56984997300) ;Gupta, Rajeev (55705295300) ;Tesfay, Fisaha Haile (57203977293) ;Hankey, Graeme J. (7102816661) ;Havmoeller, Rasmus (57212075728) ;Hijar, Martha (57216555124) ;Horino, Masako (57195769276) ;Hosgood, H. Dean (56353204400) ;Hu, Guoqing (57218106596) ;Jacobsen, Kathryn H. (26029163100) ;Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B. (14318929700) ;Jayaraman, Sudha P. (57204716526) ;Jha, Vivekanand (7005119423) ;Jibat, Tariku (57212368830) ;Johnson, Catherine O. (57212301236) ;Jonas, Jost (7202492953) ;Kasaeian, Amir (57195540738) ;Kawakami, Norito (35377339000) ;Keiyoro, Peter N. (57203177260) ;Khalil, Ibrahim (58255049500) ;Khang, Young-Ho (57198904674) ;Khubchandani, Jagdish (57211720011) ;Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A. Ahmad (57199100665) ;Kieling, Christian (57218820714) ;Kim, Daniel (57223019104) ;Kissoon, Niranjan (7006364038) ;Knibbs, Luke D. (16313525200) ;Koyanagi, Ai (57197741912) ;Krohn, Kristopher J. (57194138806) ;Defo, Barthelemy Kuate (6602271655) ;Bicer, Burcu Kucuk (57204528360) ;Kulikoff, Rachel (57192649345) ;Kumar, G. Anil (57139550500) ;Lal, Dharmesh Kumar (57222488984) ;Lam, Hilton Y. (35484312600) ;Larson, Heidi J. (57223681247) ;Larsson, Anders (56381985300) ;Laryea, Dennis Odai (57201281307) ;Leung, Janni (57214397752) ;Lim, Stephen S. (57201800433) ;Lo, Loon-Tzian (57214204231) ;Lo, Warren D. (8964933400) ;Looker, Katharine J. (57202553673) ;Lotufo, Paulo A. (7003331101) ;El Razek, Hassan Magdy Abd (57195948755) ;Malekzadeh, Reza (7005197760) ;Shifti, Desalegn Markos (57210741352) ;Mazidi, Mohsen (57203231746) ;Meaney, Peter A. (57208635601) ;Meles, Kidanu Gebremariam (57951018400) ;Memiah, Peter (57217207827) ;Mendoza, Walter (57216905642) ;Mengistie, Mubarek Abera (56045752700) ;Mengistu, Gebremichael Welday (57225351270) ;Mensah, George A. (57196028147) ;Miller, Ted R. (7403948600) ;Mock, Charles (7005790549) ;Mohammadi, Alireza (56720095000) ;Mohammed, Shafiu (57838689000) ;Monasta, Lorenzo (7801520497) ;Mueller, Ulrich (8512347500) ;Nagata, Chie (50061824800) ;Naheed, Aliya (57202560989) ;Nguyen, Grant (57191591002) ;Le Nguyen, Quyen (57204521771) ;Nsoesie, Elaine (57222955478) ;Oh, In-Hwan (57204090669) ;Okoro, Anselm (54682112200) ;Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun (57222488860) ;Olusanya, Bolajoko O. (57218504682) ;Ortiz, Alberto (7201911399) ;Paudel, Deepak (57207871851) ;Pereira, David M. (57200690024) ;Perico, Norberto (56481931200) ;Petzold, Max (7003628893) ;Phillips, Michael Robert (57202563610) ;Polanczyk, Guilherme V. (6507552141) ;Pourmalek, Farshad (8309390500) ;Qorbani, Mostafa (24831040300) ;Rafay, Anwar (57212263323) ;Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa (6507646446) ;Rahman, Mahfuzar (35571661300) ;Rai, Rajesh Kumar (51864423900) ;Ram, Usha (26653819000) ;Rankin, Zane (57200251742) ;Remuzzi, Giuseppe (56466188600) ;Renzaho, Andre M.N. (6505786588) ;Roba, Hirbo Shore (57200684844) ;Rojas-Rueda, David (57203642966) ;Ronfani, Luca (6602565620) ;Sagar, Rajesh (26643103100) ;Sanabria, Juan Ramon (7006262917) ;Mohammed, Muktar Sano Kedir (57226235199) ;Santos, Itamar S. (57198312911) ;Satpathy, Maheswar (57202563691) ;Sawhney, Monika (57220001947) ;Schottker, Ben (37665918200) ;Schwebel, David C. (6603681532) ;Scott, James G. (57218307442) ;Sepanlou, Sadaf G. 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(57224556036)Vos, Theo (57223885848)IMPORTANCE: Comprehensive and timely monitoring of disease burden in all age groups, including children and adolescents, is essential for improving population health. OBJECTIVE: To quantify and describe levels and trends of mortality and nonfatal health outcomes among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2015 to provide a framework for policy discussion. EVIDENCE REVIEW: Cause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes were analyzed for 195 countries and territories by age group, sex, and year from 1990 to 2015 using standardized approaches for data processing and statistical modeling, with subsequent analysis of the findings to describe levels and trends across geography and time among children and adolescents 19 years or younger. A composite indicator of income, education, and fertility was developed (Socio-demographic Index [SDI]) for each geographic unit and year, which evaluates the historical association between SDI and health loss. FINDINGS: Global child and adolescent mortality decreased from 14.18 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 14.09 million to 14.28 million) deaths in 1990 to 7.26 million (95% UI, 7.14 million to 7.39 million) deaths in 2015, but progress has been unevenly distributed. Countries with a lower SDI had a larger proportion of mortality burden (75%) in 2015 than was the case in 1990 (61%). Most deaths in 2015 occurred in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Global trends were driven by reductions in mortality owing to infectious, nutritional, and neonatal disorders, which in the aggregate led to a relative increase in the importance of noncommunicable diseases and injuries in explaining global disease burden. The absolute burden of disability in children and adolescents increased 4.3%(95%UI, 3.1%-5.6%) from 1990 to 2015, with much of the increase owing to population growth and improved survival for children and adolescents to older ages. Other than infectious conditions, many top causes of disability are associated with long-term sequelae of conditions present at birth (eg, neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, and hemoglobinopathies) and complications of a variety of infections and nutritional deficiencies. Anemia, developmental intellectual disability, hearing loss, epilepsy, and vision loss are important contributors to childhood disability that can arise from multiple causes. Maternal and reproductive health remains a key cause of disease burden in adolescent females, especially in lower-SDI countries. In low-SDI countries, mortality is the primary driver of health loss for children and adolescents, whereas disability predominates in higher-SDI locations; the specific pattern of epidemiological transition varies across diseases and injuries. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Consistent international attention and investment have led to sustained improvements in causes of health loss among children and adolescents in many countries, although progress has been uneven. The persistence of infectious diseases in some countries, coupled with ongoing epidemiologic transition to injuries and noncommunicable diseases, require all countries to carefully evaluate and implement appropriate strategies to maximize the health of their children and adolescents and for the international community to carefully consider which elements of child and adolescent health should be monitored. © 2017 American Medical Association. All rights reserved. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Erratum: Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (The Lancet (2016) 388(10053) (1725–1774)(S0140673616315756)(10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31575-6))(2017) ;Wang, Haidong (16507828100) ;Bhutta, Zulfiqar A (24342648300) ;Coates, Matthew M (57211076754) ;Coggeshall, Megan (56132969600) ;Dandona, Lalit (7007017243) ;Diallo, Khassoum (6701577865) ;Franca, Elisabeth Barboza (16031258100) ;Fraser, Maya (57202561859) ;Fullman, Nancy (57211064970) ;Gething, Peter W (57193559189) ;Hay, Simon I (7101875313) ;Kinfu, Yohannes (12770281900) ;Kita, Maaya (57208149285) ;Kulikoff, Xie Rachel (57191837748) ;Larson, Heidi J (57202559142) ;Liang, Juan (57198351058) ;Liang, Xiaofeng (26662590300) ;Lim, Stephen S (7404081544) ;Lind, Margaret (57189271761) ;Lopez, Alan D (7401455668) ;Lozano, Rafael (7102198442) ;Mensah, George A (57196028147) 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Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Lancet 2016; 388: 1725–74—In this Article, Mohsen Naghavi, Michael J Kutz, Chantal Huynh, Samer Hamidi, Addisu Shunu Beyene, and Stephen S Lim should have been listed as authors. The affiliation details for Simon I Hay have been updated. The funding statement for Simon I Hay has been added. These corrections have been made to the online version as of Jan 5, 2017. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016(2017) ;Naghavi, Mohsen (57207906323) ;Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu (57203613441) ;Abbafati, Cristiana (54917122400) ;Abbas, Kaja M. 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(57196075669) ;Polinder, Suzanne (12766122200) ;Postma, Maarten J. (7006296502) ;Pourmalek, Farshad (8309390500) ;Purcell, Caroline (56203575500) ;Qorbani, Mostafa (24831040300) ;Radfar, Amir (57194428768) ;Rafay, Anwar (57212263323) ;Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa (6507646446) ;Rahman, Mahfuzar (35571661300) ;Ur Rahman, Mohammad Hifz (57202017378) ;Rai, Rajesh Kumar (51864423900) ;Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal (56719695500) ;Rankin, Zane (57200251742) ;Rao, Puja C. (57191835613) ;Rath, Goura Kishor (35444818200) ;Rawaf, Salman (6602475959) ;Ray, Sarah E. (57196078769) ;Rehm, Jürgen (7102718648) ;Reiner, Robert C. (57203229088) ;Reitsma, Marissa B. (57208766315) ;Remuzzi, Giuseppe (56466188600) ;Rezaei, Satar (55273796300) ;Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh (57226200664) ;Rokni, Mohammad Bagher (36119103200) ;Ronfani, Luca (6602565620) ;Roshandel, Gholamreza (14034446800) ;Roth, Gregory A. (55074747400) ;Rothenbacher, Dietrich (7004765162) ;Ruhago, George Mugambage (50761517500) ;Rizwan, S.A. 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(57204092789) ;Updike, Rachel (57204698680) ;Uthman, Olalekan A. (23026328100) ;Uzochukwu, Benjamin S. Chudi (57211633289) ;Van Boven, Job F.M. (53464198500) ;Vasankari, Tommi (57200592416) ;Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy (56804702100) ;Violante, Francesco S. (7003555890) ;Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich (57211633239) ;Vollset, Stein Emil (57196315778) ;Vos, Theo (57223885848) ;Wakayo, Tolassa (57205609717) ;Wallin, Mitchell T. (57201573668) ;Wang, Yuan-Pang (8576812100) ;Weiderpass, Elisabete (57205018947) ;Weintraub, Robert G. (7006079405) ;Weiss, Daniel J. (8609275600) ;Werdecker, Andrea (57208964895) ;Westerman, Ronny (57218361023) ;Whetter, Brian (57201998502) ;Whiteford, Harvey A. (55906494000) ;Wijeratne, Tissa (14051317700) ;Wiysonge, Charles Shey (6507441509) ;Woldeyes, Belete Getahun (57195329524) ;Wolfe, Charles D.A. (57202754705) ;Woodbrook, Rachel (57200298006) ;Workicho, Abdulhalik (56720337100) ;Xavier, Denis (55403963100) ;Xiao, Qingyang (59797114300) ;Xu, Gelin (57203583113) ;Yaghoubi, Mohsen (57212400558) ;Yakob, Bereket (57203811497) ;Yano, Yuichiro (57196965200) ;Yaseri, Mehdi (23029507000) ;Yimam, Hassen Hamid (57196325590) ;Yonemoto, Naohiro (57204947657) ;Yoon, Seok-Jun (24823148900) ;Yotebieng, Marcel (26325950800) ;Younis, Mustafa Z. (8549393000) ;Zaidi, Zoubida (57197376721) ;El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa (57203666922) ;Zegeye, Elias Asfaw (57209171278) ;Zenebe, Zerihun Menlkalew (57200737185) ;Zerfu, Taddese Alemu (55358278900) ;Zhang, Anthony Lin (56391112900) ;Zhang, Xueying (56283378700) ;Zipkin, Ben (57200737130) ;Zodpey, Sanjay (7003415080) ;Lopez, Alan D. (7401455668)Murray, Christopher J.L. (55481130700)Background: Monitoring levels and trends in premature mortality is crucial to understanding how societies can address prominent sources of early death. The Global Burden of Disease 2016 Study (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specifc mortality for 264 causes in 195 locations from 1980 to 2016. This assessment includes evaluation of the expected epidemiological transition with changes in development and where local patterns deviate from these trends. Methods: We estimated cause-specifc deaths and years of life lost (YLLs) by age, sex, geography, and year. YLLs were calculated from the sum of each death multiplied by the standard life expectancy at each age. We used the GBD cause of death database composed of: vital registration (VR) data corrected for under-registration and garbage coding; national and subnational verbal autopsy (VA) studies corrected for garbage coding; and other sources including surveys and surveillance systems for specifc causes such as maternal mortality. To facilitate assessment of quality, we reported on the fraction of deaths assigned to GBD Level 1 or Level 2 causes that cannot be underlying causes of death (major garbage codes) by location and year. Based on completeness, garbage coding, cause list detail, and time periods covered, we provided an overall data quality rating for each location with scores ranging from 0 stars (worst) to 5 stars (best). We used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to generate estimates for each location, year, age, and sex. We assessed observed and expected levels and trends of cause-specifc deaths in relation to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary indicator derived from measures of average income per capita, educational attainment, and total fertility, with locations grouped into quintiles by SDI. Relative to GBD 2015, we expanded the GBD cause hierarchy by 18 causes of death for GBD 2016. Findings: The quality of available data varied by location. Data quality in 25 countries rated in the highest category (5 stars), while 48, 30, 21, and 44 countries were rated at each of the succeeding data quality levels. Vital registration or verbal autopsy data were not available in 27 countries, resulting in the assignment of a zero value for data quality. Deaths from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) represented 72·3% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 71·2-73·2) of deaths in 2016 with 19·3% (18·5-20·4) of deaths in that year occurring from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases and a further 8·43% (8·00-8·67) from injuries. Although age-standardised rates of death from NCDs decreased globally between 2006 and 2016, total numbers of these deaths increased; both numbers and age-standardised rates of death from CMNN causes decreased in the decade 2006-16 - age-standardised rates of deaths from injuries decreased but total numbers varied little. In 2016, the three leading global causes of death in children under-5 were lower respiratory infections, neonatal preterm birth complications, and neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma, combined resulting in 1·80 million deaths (95% UI 1·59 million to 1·89 million). Between 1990 and 2016, a profound shift toward deaths at older ages occurred with a 178% (95% UI 176-181) increase in deaths in ages 90-94 years and a 210% (208-212) increase in deaths older than age 95 years. The ten leading causes by rates of age-standardised YLL signifcantly decreased from 2006 to 2016 (median annualised rate of change was a decrease of 2·89%); the median annualised rate of change for all other causes was lower (a decrease of 1·59%) during the same interval. Globally, the fve leading causes of total YLLs in 2016 were cardiovascular diseases; diarrhoea, lower respiratory infections, and other common infectious diseases; neoplasms; neonatal disorders; and HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis. At a fner level of disaggregation within cause groupings, the ten leading causes of total YLLs in 2016 were ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, lower respiratory infections, diarrhoeal diseases, road injuries, malaria, neonatal preterm birth complications, HIV/AIDS, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma. Ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of total YLLs in 113 countries for men and 97 countries for women. Comparisons of observed levels of YLLs by countries, relative to the level of YLLs expected on the basis of SDI alone, highlighted distinct regional patterns including the greater than expected level of YLLs from malaria and from HIV/AIDS across sub-Saharan Africa; diabetes mellitus, especially in Oceania; interpersonal violence, notably within Latin America and the Caribbean; and cardiomyopathy and myocarditis, particularly in eastern and central Europe. The level of YLLs from ischaemic heart disease was less than expected in 117 of 195 locations. Other leading causes of YLLs for which YLLs were notably lower than expected included neonatal preterm birth complications in many locations in both south Asia and southeast Asia, and cerebrovascular disease in western Europe. Interpretation: The past 37 years have featured declining rates of communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases across all quintiles of SDI, with faster than expected gains for many locations relative to their SDI. A global shift towards deaths at older ages suggests success in reducing many causes of early death. YLLs have increased globally for causes such as diabetes mellitus or some neoplasms, and in some locations for causes such as drug use disorders, and confict and terrorism. Increasing levels of YLLs might refect outcomes from conditions that required high levels of care but for which efective treatments remain elusive, potentially increasing costs to health systems. Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2016: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016(2017) ;Hay, Simon I. (7101875313) ;Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu (57203613441) ;Abate, Kalkidan Hassen (57207943858) ;Abbafati, Cristiana (54917122400) ;Abbas, Kaja M. (57190285707) ;Abd-Allah, Foad (36503428900) ;Abdulle, Abdishakur M. (6603592018) ;Abebo, Teshome Abuka (57195738441) ;Abera, Semaw Ferede (57205180598) ;Aboyans, Victor (56214736500) ;Abu-Raddad, Laith J. (14032724700) ;Ackerman, Ilana N. (8925517400) ;Adedeji, Isaac A. 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(57207920084)Background: Measurement of changes in health across locations is useful to compare and contrast changing epidemiological patterns against health system performance and identify specific needs for resource allocation in research, policy development, and programme decision making. Using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016, we drew from two widely used summary measures to monitor such changes in population health: disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and healthy life expectancy (HALE). We used these measures to track trends and benchmark progress compared with expected trends on the basis of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Methods: We used results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 for all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, and non-fatal disease burden to derive HALE and DALYs by sex for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016. We calculated DALYs by summing years of life lost and years of life lived with disability for each location, age group, sex, and year. We estimated HALE using age-specific death rates and years of life lived with disability per capita. We explored how DALYs and HALE difered from expected trends when compared with the SDI: the geometric mean of income per person, educational attainment in the population older than age 15 years, and total fertility rate. Findings: The highest globally observed HALE at birth for both women and men was in Singapore, at 75·2 years (95% uncertainty interval 71·9-78·6) for females and 72·0 years (68·8-75·1) for males. The lowest for females was in the Central African Republic (45·6 years [42·0-49·5]) and for males was in Lesotho (41·5 years [39·0-44·0]). From 1990 to 2016, global HALE increased by an average of 6·24 years (5·97-6·48) for both sexes combined. Global HALE increased by 6·04 years (5·74-6·27) for males and 6·49 years (6·08-6·77) for females, whereas HALE at age 65 years increased by 1·78 years (1·61-1·93) for males and 1·96 years (1·69-2·13) for females. Total global DALYs remained largely unchanged from 1990 to 2016 (-2·3% [-5·9 to 0·9]), with decreases in communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) disease DALYs ofset by increased DALYs due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs). The exemplars, calculated as the fve lowest ratios of observed to expected age-standardised DALY rates in 2016, were Nicaragua, Costa Rica, the Maldives, Peru, and Israel. The leading three causes of DALYs globally were ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and lower respiratory infections, comprising 16·1% of all DALYs. Total DALYs and age-standardised DALY rates due to most CMNN causes decreased from 1990 to 2016. Conversely, the total DALY burden rose for most NCDs; however, age-standardised DALY rates due to NCDs declined globally. Interpretation: At a global level, DALYs and HALE continue to show improvements. At the same time, we observe that many populations are facing growing functional health loss. Rising SDI was associated with increases in cumulative years of life lived with disability and decreases in CMNN DALYs ofset by increased NCD DALYs. Relative compression of morbidity highlights the importance of continued health interventions, which has changed in most locations in pace with the gross domestic product per person, education, and family planning. The analysis of DALYs and HALE and their relationship to SDI represents a robust framework with which to benchmark location-specific health performance. Country-specific drivers of disease burden, particularly for causes with higher-than-expected DALYs, should inform health policies, health system improvement initiatives, targeted prevention eforts, and development assistance for health, including fnancial and research investments for all countries, regardless of their level of sociodemographic development. The presence of countries that substantially outperform others suggests the need for increased scrutiny for proven examples of best practices, which can help to extend gains, whereas the presence of underperforming countries suggests the need for devotion of extra attention to health systems that need more robust support. © The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990-2016: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016(2017) ;Vos, Theo (57223885848) ;Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu (57203613441) ;Abbafati, Cristiana (54917122400) ;Abbas, Kaja M. (57190285707) ;Abate, Kalkidan Hassen (57207943858) ;Abd-Allah, Foad (36503428900) ;Abdulle, Abdishakur M. (6603592018) ;Abebo, Teshome Abuka (57195738441) ;Abera, Semaw Ferede (57205180598) ;Aboyans, Victor (56214736500) ;Abu-Raddad, Laith J. (14032724700) ;Ackerman, Ilana N. 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(57195959162) ;Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich (57211633239) ;Vollset, Stein Emil (57196315778) ;Wadilo, Fiseha (57194049305) ;Wakayo, Tolassa (57205609717) ;Wang, Yuan-Pang (8576812100) ;Weaver, Marcia (7201548872) ;Weichenthal, Scott (57202555239) ;Weiderpass, Elisabete (57205018947) ;Weintraub, Robert G. (7006079405) ;Werdecker, Andrea (57208964895) ;Westerman, Ronny (57218361023) ;Whiteford, Harvey A. (55906494000) ;Wijeratne, Tissa (14051317700) ;Wiysonge, Charles Shey (6507441509) ;Wolfe, Charles D.A. (57202754705) ;Woodbrook, Rachel (57200298006) ;Woolf, Anthony D. (7102882171) ;Workicho, Abdulhalik (56720337100) ;Wulf Hanson, Sarah (57212263269) ;Xavier, Denis (55403963100) ;Xu, Gelin (57203583113) ;Yadgir, Simon (57192837280) ;Yaghoubi, Mohsen (56402926900) ;Yakob, Bereket (57203811497) ;Yan, Lijing L. (35933756700) ;Yano, Yuichiro (57196965200) ;Ye, Pengpeng (57202839295) ;Yimam, Hassen Hamid (57196325590) ;Yip, Paul (7102503720) ;Yonemoto, Naohiro (57204947657) ;Yoon, Seok-Jun (24823148900) ;Yotebieng, Marcel (26325950800) ;Younis, Mustafa Z. (8549393000) ;Zaidi, Zoubida (57197376721) ;Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed (57203666922) ;Zegeye, Elias Asfaw (57209171278) ;Zenebe, Zerihun Menlkalew (57200737185) ;Zhang, Xueying (56283378700) ;Zhou, Maigeng (57054557200) ;Zipkin, Ben (57200737130) ;Zodpey, Sanjay (7003415080) ;Zuhlke, Liesl Joanna (57209027746)Murray, Christopher J.L. (55481130700)Background As mortality rates decline, life expectancy increases, and populations age, non-fatal outcomes of diseases and injuries are becoming a larger component of the global burden of disease. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 328 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016. Methods We estimated prevalence and incidence for 328 diseases and injuries and 2982 sequelae, their non-fatal consequences. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, as the main method of estimation, ensuring consistency between incidence, prevalence, remission, and cause of death rates for each condition. For some causes, we used alternative modelling strategies if incidence or prevalence needed to be derived from other data. YLDs were estimated as the product of prevalence and a disability weight for all mutually exclusive sequelae, corrected for comorbidity and aggregated to cause level. We updated the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and total fertility rate. GBD 2016 complies with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). Findings Globally, low back pain, migraine, age-related and other hearing loss, iron-deficiency anaemia, and major depressive disorder were the five leading causes of YLDs in 2016, contributing 57·6 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 40·8-75·9 million [7·2%, 6·0-8·3]), 45·1 million (29·0-62·8 million [5·6%, 4·0-7·2]), 36·3 million (25·3-50·9 million [4·5%, 3·8-5·3]), 34·7 million (23·0-49·6 million [4·3%, 3·5-5·2]), and 34·1 million (23·5-46·0 million [4·2%, 3·2-5·3]) of total YLDs, respectively. Age-standardised rates of YLDs for all causes combined decreased between 1990 and 2016 by 2·7% (95% UI 2·3-3·1). Despite mostly stagnant age-standardised rates, the absolute number of YLDs from non-communicable diseases has been growing rapidly across all SDI quintiles, partly because of population growth, but also the ageing of populations. The largest absolute increases in total numbers of YLDs globally were between the ages of 40 and 69 years. Age-standardised YLD rates for all conditions combined were 10·4% (95% UI 9·0-11·8) higher in women than in men. Iron-deficiency anaemia, migraine, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, major depressive disorder, anxiety, and all musculoskeletal disorders apart from gout were the main conditions contributing to higher YLD rates in women. Men had higher age-standardised rates of substance use disorders, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, cancers, and all injuries apart from sexual violence. Globally, we noted much less geographical variation in disability than has been documented for premature mortality. In 2016, there was a less than two times difference in age-standardised YLD rates for all causes between the location with the lowest rate (China, 9201 YLDs per 100 000, 95% UI 6862-11943) and highest rate (Yemen, 14 774 YLDs per 100 000, 11 018-19 228). Interpretation The decrease in death rates since 1990 for most causes has not been matched by a similar decline in age-standardised YLD rates. For many large causes, YLD rates have either been stagnant or have increased for some causes, such as diabetes. As populations are ageing, and the prevalence of disabling disease generally increases steeply with age, health systems will face increasing demand for services that are generally costlier than the interventions that have led to declines in mortality in childhood or for the major causes of mortality in adults. Up-todate information about the trends of disease and how this varies between countries is essential to plan for an adequate health-system response. © The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015(2016) ;Wang, Haidong (16507828100) ;Bhutta, Zulfiqar A (24342648300) ;Coates, Matthew M (57211076754) ;Coggeshall, Megan (56132969600) ;Dandona, Lalit (7007017243) ;Diallo, Khassoum (6701577865) ;Franca, Elisabeth Barboza (16031258100) ;Fraser, Maya (57202561859) ;Fullman, Nancy (57211064970) ;Gething, Peter W (57193559189) ;Hay, Simon I (7101875313) ;Kinfu, Yohannes (12770281900) ;Kita, Maaya (57208149285) ;Kulikoff, Xie Rachel (57191837748) ;Larson, Heidi J (57202559142) ;Liang, Juan (57198351058) ;Liang, Xiaofeng (26662590300) ;Lim, Stephen S (57201800433) ;Lind, Margaret (57189271761) ;Lopez, Alan D (7401455668) ;Lozano, Rafael (7102198442) ;Mensah, George A (57196028147) ;Mikesell, Joseph B (57202572280) ;Mokdad, Ali H (7004813962) ;Mooney, Meghan D (57216598823) ;Naghavi, 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;Vasankari, Tommi (57200592416) ;Vasconcelos, Ana Maria Nogales (57208202014) ;Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy (56804702100) ;Verma, Raj Kumar (59595278200) ;Violante, Francesco S (7003555890) ;Vladimirov, Sergey K (57195959162) ;Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich (57211633239) ;Vollset, Stein Emil (57196315778) ;Wang, Linhong (57303731300) ;Wang, Yanping (57215440165) ;Weichenthal, Scott (57202555239) ;Weiderpass, Elisabete (57205018947) ;Weintraub, Robert G (7006079405) ;Weiss, Daniel J (8609275600) ;Werdecker, Andrea (57208964895) ;Westerman, Ronny (57218361023) ;Widdowson, Marc-Alain (26429004600) ;Wijeratne, Tissa (14051317700) ;Williams, Thomas Neil (35430527200) ;Wiysonge, Charles Shey (6507441509) ;Wolfe, Charles D A (57202754705) ;Wolfe, Ingrid (57219151544) ;Won, Sungho (57207796874) ;Wubshet, Mamo (54409732600) ;Xiao, Qingyang (59797114300) ;Xu, Gelin (57203583113) ;Yadav, Ajit Kumar (57197675591) ;Yakob, Bereket (57203811497) ;Yano, Yuichiro (57196965200) ;Yaseri, Mehdi (23029507000) ;Ye, Pengpeng (57202839295) ;Yebyo, Henock Gebremedhin (57204699309) ;Yip, Paul (7102503720) ;Yonemoto, Naohiro (57204947657) ;Yoon, Seok-Jun (24823148900) ;Younis, Mustafa Z (8549393000) ;Yu, Chuanhua (57208140344) ;Zaidi, Zoubida (57197376721) ;Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed (57203666922) ;Zeeb, Hajo (57203073012) ;Zhang, Hao (59062050200) ;Zhao, Yong (59798995400) ;Zheng, Yingfeng (58918045300) ;Zhou, Maigeng (57054557200) ;Zodpey, Sanjay (7003415080)Murray, Christopher J L (55481130700)Background Established in 2000, Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG4) catalysed extraordinary political, financial, and social commitments to reduce under-5 mortality by two-thirds between 1990 and 2015. At the country level, the pace of progress in improving child survival has varied markedly, highlighting a crucial need to further examine potential drivers of accelerated or slowed decreases in child mortality. The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study (GBD 2015) provides an analytical framework to comprehensively assess these trends for under-5 mortality, age-specific and cause-specific mortality among children under 5 years, and stillbirths by geography over time. Methods Drawing from analytical approaches developed and refined in previous iterations of the GBD study, we generated updated estimates of child mortality by age group (neonatal, post-neonatal, ages 1–4 years, and under 5) for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational geographies, from 1980–2015. We also estimated numbers and rates of stillbirths for these geographies and years. Gaussian process regression with data source adjustments for sampling and non-sampling bias was applied to synthesise input data for under-5 mortality for each geography. Age-specific mortality estimates were generated through a two-stage age–sex splitting process, and stillbirth estimates were produced with a mixed-effects model, which accounted for variable stillbirth definitions and data source-specific biases. For GBD 2015, we did a series of novel analyses to systematically quantify the drivers of trends in child mortality across geographies. First, we assessed observed and expected levels and annualised rates of decrease for under-5 mortality and stillbirths as they related to the Soci-demographic Index (SDI). Second, we examined the ratio of recorded and expected levels of child mortality, on the basis of SDI, across geographies, as well as differences in recorded and expected annualised rates of change for under-5 mortality. Third, we analysed levels and cause compositions of under-5 mortality, across time and geographies, as they related to rising SDI. Finally, we decomposed the changes in under-5 mortality to changes in SDI at the global level, as well as changes in leading causes of under-5 deaths for countries and territories. We documented each step of the GBD 2015 child mortality estimation process, as well as data sources, in accordance with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). Findings Globally, 5·8 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 5·7–6·0) children younger than 5 years died in 2015, representing a 52·0% (95% UI 50·7–53·3) decrease in the number of under-5 deaths since 1990. Neonatal deaths and stillbirths fell at a slower pace since 1990, decreasing by 42·4% (41·3–43·6) to 2·6 million (2·6–2·7) neonatal deaths and 47·0% (35·1–57·0) to 2·1 million (1·8-2·5) stillbirths in 2015. Between 1990 and 2015, global under-5 mortality decreased at an annualised rate of decrease of 3·0% (2·6–3·3), falling short of the 4·4% annualised rate of decrease required to achieve MDG4. During this time, 58 countries met or exceeded the pace of progress required to meet MDG4. Between 2000, the year MDG4 was formally enacted, and 2015, 28 additional countries that did not achieve the 4·4% rate of decrease from 1990 met the MDG4 pace of decrease. However, absolute levels of under-5 mortality remained high in many countries, with 11 countries still recording rates exceeding 100 per 1000 livebirths in 2015. Marked decreases in under-5 deaths due to a number of communicable diseases, including lower respiratory infections, diarrhoeal diseases, measles, and malaria, accounted for much of the progress in lowering overall under-5 mortality in low-income countries. Compared with gains achieved for infectious diseases and nutritional deficiencies, the persisting toll of neonatal conditions and congenital anomalies on child survival became evident, especially in low-income and low-middle-income countries. We found sizeable heterogeneities in comparing observed and expected rates of under-5 mortality, as well as differences in observed and expected rates of change for under-5 mortality. At the global level, we recorded a divergence in observed and expected levels of under-5 mortality starting in 2000, with the observed trend falling much faster than what was expected based on SDI through 2015. Between 2000 and 2015, the world recorded 10·3 million fewer under-5 deaths than expected on the basis of improving SDI alone. Interpretation Gains in child survival have been large, widespread, and in many places in the world, faster than what was anticipated based on improving levels of development. Yet some countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, still had high rates of under-5 mortality in 2015. Unless these countries are able to accelerate reductions in child deaths at an extraordinary pace, their achievement of proposed SDG targets is unlikely. Improving the evidence base on drivers that might hasten the pace of progress for child survival, ranging from cost-effective intervention packages to innovative financing mechanisms, is vital to charting the pathways for ultimately ending preventable child deaths by 2030. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. © 2016 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY license. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Healthcare access and quality index based on mortality from causes amenable to personal health care in 195 countries and territories, 1990-2015: A novel analysis from the global burden of disease study 2015(2017) ;Barber, Ryan M. (57202560423) ;Fullman, Nancy (57211064970) ;Sorensen, Reed J.D. (57196918748) ;Bollyky, Thomas (36677045500) ;McKee, Martin (7202304775) ;Nolte, Ellen (7005556106) ;Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu (57203613441) ;Abate, Kalkidan Hassen (57207943858) ;Abbafati, Cristiana (54917122400) ;Abbas, Kaja M. (57190285707) ;Abd-Allah, Foad (36503428900) ;Abdulle, Abdishakur M. (6603592018) ;Abdurahman, Ahmed Abdulahi (56677630600) ;Abera, Semaw Ferede (57205180598) ;Abraham, Biju (57202568691) ;Abreha, Girmatsion Fisseha (6504124710) ;Adane, Kelemework (57202841698) ;Adelekan, Ademola Lukman (57216109261) ;Adetifa, Ifedayo Morayo O. 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(55481130700)Background National levels of personal health-care access and quality can be approximated by measuring mortality rates from causes that should not be fatal in the presence of effective medical care (ie, amenable mortality). Previous analyses of mortality amenable to health care only focused on high-income countries and faced several methodological challenges. In the present analysis, we use the highly standardised cause of death and risk factor estimates generated through the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to improve and expand the quantification of personal health-care access and quality for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2015. Methods We mapped the most widely used list of causes amenable to personal health care developed by Nolte and McKee to 32 GBD causes. We accounted for variations in cause of death certification and misclassifications through the extensive data standardisation processes and redistribution algorithms developed for GBD. To isolate the effects of personal health-care access and quality, we risk-standardised cause-specific mortality rates for each geography-year by removing the joint effects of local environmental and behavioural risks, and adding back the global levels of risk exposure as estimated for GBD 2015. We employed principal component analysis to create a single, interpretable summary measure-the Healthcare Quality and Access (HAQ) Index-on a scale of 0 to 100. The HAQ Index showed strong convergence validity as compared with other health-system indicators, including health expenditure per capita (r=0·88), an index of 11 universal health coverage interventions (r=0·83), and human resources for health per 1000 (r=0·77). We used free disposal hull analysis with bootstrapping to produce a frontier based on the relationship between the HAQ Index and the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a measure of overall development consisting of income per capita, average years of education, and total fertility rates. This frontier allowed us to better quantify the maximum levels of personal health-care access and quality achieved across the development spectrum, and pinpoint geographies where gaps between observed and potential levels have narrowed or widened over time. Findings Between 1990 and 2015, nearly all countries and territories saw their HAQ Index values improve; nonetheless, the difference between the highest and lowest observed HAQ Index was larger in 2015 than in 1990, ranging from 28·6 to 94·6. Of 195 geographies, 167 had statistically significant increases in HAQ Index levels since 1990, with South Korea, Turkey, Peru, China, and the Maldives recording among the largest gains by 2015. Performance on the HAQ Index and individual causes showed distinct patterns by region and level of development, yet substantial heterogeneities emerged for several causes, including cancers in highest-SDI countries; chronic kidney disease, diabetes, diarrhoeal diseases, and lower respiratory infections among middle-SDI countries; and measles and tetanus among lowest-SDI countries. While the global HAQ Index average rose from 40·7 (95% uncertainty interval, 39·0-42·8) in 1990 to 53·7 (52·2-55·4) in 2015, far less progress occurred in narrowing the gap between observed HAQ Index values and maximum levels achieved; at the global level, the difference between the observed and frontier HAQ Index only decreased from 21·2 in 1990 to 20·1 in 2015. If every country and territory had achieved the highest observed HAQ Index by their corresponding level of SDI, the global average would have been 73·8 in 2015. Several countries, particularly in eastern and western sub-Saharan Africa, reached HAQ Index values similar to or beyond their development levels, whereas others, namely in southern sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and south Asia, lagged behind what geographies of similar development attained between 1990 and 2015. Interpretation This novel extension of the GBD Study shows the untapped potential for personal health-care access and quality improvement across the development spectrum. Amid substantive advances in personal health care at the national level, heterogeneous patterns for individual causes in given countries or territories suggest that few places have consistently achieved optimal health-care access and quality across health-system functions and therapeutic areas. This is especially evident in middle-SDI countries, many of which have recently undergone or are currently experiencing epidemiological transitions. The HAQ Index, if paired with other measures of health-system characteristics such as intervention coverage, could provide a robust avenue for tracking progress on universal health coverage and identifying local priorities for strengthening personal health-care quality and access throughout the world. Copyright © The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: A systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016(2018) ;Fullman, Nancy (57211064970) ;Yearwood, Jamal (57202282849) ;Abay, Solomon M. (35306466900) ;Abbafati, Cristiana (54917122400) ;Abd-Allah, Foad (36503428900) ;Abdela, Jemal (57200613000) ;Abdelalim, Ahmed (7801307783) ;Abebe, Zegeye (57193002719) ;Abebo, Teshome Abuka (57195738441) ;Aboyans, Victor (56214736500) ;Abraha, Haftom Niguse (57195289877) ;Abreu, Daisy M.X. (9747083200) ;Abu-Raddad, Laith J. 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(57195959162) ;Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich (57211633239) ;Vollset, Stein Emil (57196315778) ;Vos, Theo (57223885848) ;Wagnew, Fasil (57200917385) ;Waheed, Yasir (35303643700) ;Wallin, Mitchell T. (57201573668) ;Walson, Judd L. (57203254111) ;Wang, Yafeng (57208674780) ;Wang, Yuan-Pang (8576812100) ;Wassie, Molla Mesele (56499356400) ;Weaver, Marcia R. (7201548872) ;Weiderpass, Elisabete (57205018947) ;Weintraub, Robert G. (7006079405) ;Weiss, Jordan (57195982912) ;Weldegwergs, Kidu Gidey (57203308107) ;Werdecker, Andrea (57208964895) ;West, T. Eoin (57756844000) ;Westerman, Ronny (57218361023) ;White, Richard G. (57201354895) ;Whiteford, Harvey A. (55906494000) ;Widecka, Justyna (15047205800) ;Winkler, Andrea Sylvia (58323746700) ;Wiysonge, Charles Shey (6507441509) ;Wolfe, Charles D.A. (57202754705) ;Wondimkun, Yohanes Ayele (57203299368) ;Workicho, Abdulhalik (56720337100) ;Wyper, Grant M.A. (56503829800) ;Xavier, Denis (55403963100) ;Xu, Gelin (57203583113) ;Yan, Lijing L. (57198311895) ;Yano, Yuichiro (57196965200) ;Yaseri, Mehdi (23029507000) ;Yimer, Nigus Bililign (57216264444) ;Yin, Peng (7103219312) ;Yip, Paul (7102503720) ;Yirsaw, Biruck Desalegn (49664327400) ;Yonemoto, Naohiro (57204947657) ;Yonga, Gerald (57203907041) ;Yoon, Seok-Jun (24823148900) ;Yotebieng, Marcel (26325950800) ;Younis, Mustafa Z. (8549393000) ;Yu, Chuanhua (57201889726) ;Zadnik, Vesna (57202975428) ;Zaidi, Zoubida (57197376721) ;El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa (57203666922) ;Zaman, Sojib Bin (57193070058) ;Zamani, Mohammad (57096222300) ;Zenebe, Zerihun Menlkalew (57200737185) ;Zhou, Maigeng (57054557200) ;Zhu, Jun (56215097100) ;Zimsen, Stephanie R.M. (57196078433) ;Zipkin, Ben (57200737130) ;Zodpey, Sanjay (7003415080) ;Zuhlke, Liesl Joanna (57209027746) ;Murray, Christopher J.L. (55481130700)Lozano, Rafael (7102198442)Background A key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index for 195 countries and territories, as well as subnational locations in seven countries, from 1990 to 2016. Methods Drawing from established methods and updated estimates from GBD 2016, we used 32 causes from which death should not occur in the presence of effective care to approximate personal health-care access and quality by location and over time. To better isolate potential effects of personal health-care access and quality from underlying risk factor patterns, we risk-standardised cause-specific deaths due to non-cancers by location-year, replacing the local joint exposure of environmental and behavioural risks with the global level of exposure. Supported by the expansion of cancer registry data in GBD 2016, we used mortality-to-incidence ratios for cancers instead of risk-standardised death rates to provide a stronger signal of the effects of personal health care and access on cancer survival. We transformed each cause to a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the first percentile (worst) observed between 1990 and 2016, and 100 as the 99th percentile (best); we set these thresholds at the country level, and then applied them to subnational locations. We applied a principal components analysis to construct the HAQ Index using all scaled cause values, providing an overall score of 0-100 of personal health-care access and quality by location over time. We then compared HAQ Index levels and trends by quintiles on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary measure of overall development. As derived from the broader GBD study and other data sources, we examined relationships between national HAQ Index scores and potential correlates of performance, such as total health spending per capita. Findings In 2016, HAQ Index performance spanned from a high of 97·1 (95% UI 95·8-98·1) in Iceland, followed by 96·6 (94·9-97·9) in Norway and 96·1 (94·5-97·3) in the Netherlands, to values as low as 18·6 (13·1-24·4) in the Central African Republic, 19·0 (14·3-23·7) in Somalia, and 23·4 (20·2-26·8) in Guinea-Bissau. The pace of progress achieved between 1990 and 2016 varied, with markedly faster improvements occurring between 2000 and 2016 for many countries in sub-Saharan Africa and southeast Asia, whereas several countries in Latin America and elsewhere saw progress stagnate after experiencing considerable advances in the HAQ Index between 1990 and 2000. Striking subnational disparities emerged in personal health-care access and quality, with China and India having particularly large gaps between locations with the highest and lowest scores in 2016. In China, performance ranged from 91·5 (89·1-93·6) in Beijing to 48·0 (43·4-53·2) in Tibet (a 43·5-point difference), while India saw a 30·8-point disparity, from 64·8 (59·6-68·8) in Goa to 34·0 (30·3-38·1) in Assam. Japan recorded the smallest range in subnational HAQ performance in 2016 (a 4·8-point difference), whereas differences between subnational locations with the highest and lowest HAQ Index values were more than two times as high for the USA and three times as high for England. State-level gaps in the HAQ Index in Mexico somewhat narrowed from 1990 to 2016 (from a 20·9-point to 17·0-point difference), whereas in Brazil, disparities slightly increased across states during this time (a 17·2-point to 20·4-point difference). Performance on the HAQ Index showed strong linkages to overall development, with high and high-middle SDI countries generally having higher scores and faster gains for non-communicable diseases. Nonetheless, countries across the development spectrum saw substantial gains in some key health service areas from 2000 to 2016, most notably vaccine-preventable diseases. Overall, national performance on the HAQ Index was positively associated with higher levels of total health spending per capita, as well as health systems inputs, but these relationships were quite heterogeneous, particularly among low-to-middle SDI countries. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides a more detailed understanding of past success and current challenges in improving personal health-care access and quality worldwide. Despite substantial gains since 2000, many low-SDI and middle- SDI countries face considerable challenges unless heightened policy action and investments focus on advancing access to and quality of health care across key health services, especially non-communicable diseases. Stagnating or minimal improvements experienced by several low-middle to high-middle SDI countries could reflect the complexities of re-orienting both primary and secondary health-care services beyond the more limited foci of the Millennium Development Goals. Alongside initiatives to strengthen public health programmes, the pursuit of universal health coverage hinges upon improving both access and quality worldwide, and thus requires adopting a more comprehensive view - and subsequent provision - of quality health care for all populations. Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.