Browsing by Author "Milosevic, Vuk (24480195100)"

The aim of this study was to define features of Guillain-Barré syndrome in a large cohort of patients from three Western Balkans countries. Data from adult Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) cases from 2009 to 2013 were retrospectively obtained from all tertiary health care centers. During the 5-year period, 327 new cases of GBS were identified with a male to female ratio of 1.7 : 1. The most common GBS variants were demyelinating (65%) and axonal (12%). At nadir 45% of patients were chair-bound, confined to bed, or required assisted ventilation, while 5% died. The crude incidence of GBS in Serbia and Montenegro was 0.93 per 100,000 population, and age-adjusted incidence according to the world standard population was 0.86 per 100,000. Incidence was particularly high in 50- to 80-year-old men. Statistically significant seasonal variations of GBS were not observed. This study of patients with GBS in the Western Balkans allows us to prepare the health system better and to improve the management of patients. This study also opens opportunities for international collaboration and for taking part in the multinational studies on GBS. © 2015 Peripheral Nerve Society.

The aim of this study was to define features of Guillain-Barré syndrome in a large cohort of patients from three Western Balkans countries. Data from adult Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) cases from 2009 to 2013 were retrospectively obtained from all tertiary health care centers. During the 5-year period, 327 new cases of GBS were identified with a male to female ratio of 1.7 : 1. The most common GBS variants were demyelinating (65%) and axonal (12%). At nadir 45% of patients were chair-bound, confined to bed, or required assisted ventilation, while 5% died. The crude incidence of GBS in Serbia and Montenegro was 0.93 per 100,000 population, and age-adjusted incidence according to the world standard population was 0.86 per 100,000. Incidence was particularly high in 50- to 80-year-old men. Statistically significant seasonal variations of GBS were not observed. This study of patients with GBS in the Western Balkans allows us to prepare the health system better and to improve the management of patients. This study also opens opportunities for international collaboration and for taking part in the multinational studies on GBS. © 2015 Peripheral Nerve Society.

Background: The study of seasonal variability of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) occurrence may contribute to a better understanding of the nature of this disease and open up new perspectives in its prevention. The aim of this study was to test seasonal patterns in the number of admissions of ICH patients and determine which months have maximal and minimal number of admissions. Methods: The main data source for this study was a hospital-based registry at the Clinic of Neurology in Nis, Serbia. During the studied period (1997-2007) a total of 1569 ICH patients were registered. Time series, consisting of the monthly number of hospitalized patients, for the 128 months of the study duration, has been successfully modeled using the multiplicative Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. Results: Using the maximum likelihood method, utilizing Melrad's algorithm, the parameters of this ARIMA model have been calculated: constant (estimate 12.068, p < 0.001), auto regressive-AR(1) (estimate 0.866, p < 0.001), moving average-MA(1) (estimate 0.775, p < 0.001), seasonal moving average-SMA(12) (estimate -0.198, p = 0.036). ARIMA modeling has been successful and showed that there is a clear seasonal pattern in the data analyzed. Conclusion: Based on the seasonal multiplicative ARIMA model and the seasonal time series decomposition, we showed that, in the period covered by the study, the peak of admissions occurred in March, and the trough of admissions was found in August. © 2011 Elsevier B.V.